What are the odds: New Zealand legislative election winner?

Polymarket traders favor National Party at 98%, ahead of Labour Party at 1.8%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

WP Wire › Markets › Elections

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Polymarket traders favor National Party at 98%, ahead of Labour Party at 1.8%.

Connecting…Polymarket$179K traded in 24h · $993K totalCloses Nov 8, 2026

Odds now

National Party98%—

Labour Party1.8%—

National Party · last 7 days

100%0%

See this market on Polymarket ↗

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WARNPOINT risk score

New Zealand
WATCH · open dossier16

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.