November 30 21%December 15 70%+2 more
November 154.9%
▲ 1
$1.2M24h
Conflict odds
Connecting…What traders are betting will happen, live from Polymarket and Kalshi, next to WARNPOINT's own country scores. The number is the market's chance in percent; ▲▼ is the move over 24 hours.
MarketChance24hVolume
November 13 51%November 15 94%+6 more
November 1193%
▲ 43
$941K24h
9.5%
▼ 1
$678K24h
November 15 46%November 22 53%+2 more
November 813%
▼ 11
$365K24h
PolymarketConflict
9.5%
▲ 1
$333K24h
November 30, 202628%
▲ 9
$247K24h
November 302.4%
—
$215K24h
46%
▲ 1
$186K24h
November 3016%
▲ 2
$164K24h
November 304.0%
▲ 2
$147K24h
PolymarketConflict
3.7%
▲ 1
$96K24h
1.8%
—
$80K24h
December 31 8.0%March 31, 2027 30%+1 more
November 303.7%
▼ 2
$69K24h
2.7%
—
$56K24h
December 3143%
▼ 3
$52K24h
PolymarketConflict
1.8%
—
$52K24h
November 3012%
—
$50K24h
December 31 15%January 31, 2027 24%+11 more
November 305.0%
▲ 1
$43K24h
November 3011%
▼ 2
$41K24h
Jared Kushner 43%Abbas Araghchi 42%+22 more
PolymarketConflict
Mohsen Rezaei50%
▲ 1
$41K24h
PolymarketConflict
100%
—
$36K24h
No meeting by December 31 10%United States <1%
PolymarketConflict
China89%
▲ 1
$36K24h
No Talks by December 31, 2027 1.0%Turkey <1%
UAE98%
▲ 2
$27K24h
1.4%
▼ 1
$19K24h
US 1.9%Qatar / UAE <1%+1 more
PolymarketConflict
No meeting before 202796%
▲ 1
$18K24h
7.0%
▼ 1
$17K24h
November 151.2%
—
$17K24h
PolymarketConflict
1.5%
—
$9K24h
Odds by country
Odds are crowd prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, not WARNPOINT forecasts, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Links go to each market on its own platform. Not investment advice.