Iran full airspace closure by…?
Polymarket traders give “Iran full airspace closure by November 30” a 12% chance, and December 31 24%.
Odds now
November 3012%▼ 1
December 3124%▼ 3
November 30 · last 7 days
40%0%
Latest on WP Wire
Trump says he is highly unlikely to order Iran strikes if talks progressThe Kathmandu PostIran war and ambiguous fuel pricing squeeze Indian fishermenNikkei AsiaPakistan's Hormuz agreement with Iran faces test after LNG tanker attackNikkei AsiaBREAKING - France opens probe into Iranian cyber unit over fridge attacks: prosecutorsTG insiderpaperHundreds of French supermarkets had their commercial refrigeration systems remotely overridden on Oct. 11, pushing temperatures to 50°C. French officials suspect Iranian state-backed hackers carried out the attack, according to a Reuters…TG Osint613Pete Hegseth Impeachment Vote Expected as Trump Mutes Iran War EscalationNewsweekWARNPOINT risk score
IranSEVERE · open dossier64
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?4.8%Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…?98%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9.5%US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)12%Iran leadership change by…?2.4%Iran leader end of 2026?93%Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.