Iran leadership change by…?
Polymarket traders give “Iran leadership change by November 30” a 2.4% chance, and December 31 7.5%.
Odds now
November 302.4%—
December 317.5%▲ 2
June 30, 202723%—
November 30 · last 7 days
10%0%
Latest on WP Wire
Trump says he is highly unlikely to order Iran strikes if talks progressThe Kathmandu PostIran war and ambiguous fuel pricing squeeze Indian fishermenNikkei AsiaPakistan's Hormuz agreement with Iran faces test after LNG tanker attackNikkei AsiaBREAKING - France opens probe into Iranian cyber unit over fridge attacks: prosecutorsTG insiderpaperHundreds of French supermarkets had their commercial refrigeration systems remotely overridden on Oct. 11, pushing temperatures to 50°C. French officials suspect Iranian state-backed hackers carried out the attack, according to a Reuters…TG Osint613Pete Hegseth Impeachment Vote Expected as Trump Mutes Iran War EscalationNewsweekWARNPOINT risk score
IranSEVERE · open dossier64
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?4.8%Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…?98%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9.5%US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)12%Iran leader end of 2026?93%Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?2.7%Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.