25 bps increase81%
▲ 4
$721K24h
Economy odds
Connecting…What traders are betting will happen, live from Polymarket and Kalshi, next to WARNPOINT's own country scores. The number is the market's chance in percent; ▲▼ is the move over 24 hours.
MarketChance24hVolume
November 156.8%
—
$102K24h
PolymarketEconomy
80%
▲ 4
$99K24h
December 315.5%
▼ 2
$73K24h
0 (0 bps)98%
—
$35K24h
Hike–Pause–Hike81%
▲ 5
$26K24h
7.0%
▲ 3
$12K24h
Above 190 MMst 96%Above 200 MMst 69%+5 more
Above 180 MMst97%
▼ 1
$12K24h
Above 550,000 jobs 95%Above 555,000 jobs 73%+3 more
Above 545,000 jobs97%
—
$11K24h
92%
▼ 4
$10K24h
Before 202998%
—
$10K24h
Pause-Hike-Pause79%
▲ 8
$10K24h
Above 140,000 gallons 70%Above 150,000 gallons 46%+2 more
Above 130,000 gallons85%
▼ 2
$9K24h
Above 74 million short tons 97%Above 76 million short tons 95%+4 more
Above 72 million short tons98%
—
$9K24h
4.00% to 4.49%44%
▲ 21
$9K24h
Above 450,000 jobs 96%Above 452,500 jobs 95%+4 more
Above 447,500 jobs96%
—
$8K24h
KalshiEconomy
67%
▲ 1
$6K24h
43%
▲ 2
$6K24h
Above 48 million 94%Above 49 million 90%+5 more
Above 47 million97%
—
$4K24h
7.0%
▼ 4
$4K24h
Above 8.6 million TEUs 95%Above 8.5 million TEUs 93%+6 more
Above 8.4 million TEUs96%
—
$4K24h
Odds by country
Odds are crowd prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, not WARNPOINT forecasts, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Links go to each market on its own platform. Not investment advice.