What are the odds: How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Polymarket traders favor 0 (0 bps) at 98%, ahead of 2 (50 bps) at <1%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Q: Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

Polymarket traders favor 0 (0 bps) at 98%, ahead of 2 (50 bps) at <1%.

Connecting…Polymarket$35K traded in 24h · $55.7M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

0 (0 bps)98%—

2 (50 bps)<1%—

1 (25 bps)<1%—

0 (0 bps) · last 7 days

100%0%

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Odds now

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