What are the odds: Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket traders favor 25 bps increase at 81%, ahead of No change at 20%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

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Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket traders favor 25 bps increase at 81%, ahead of No change at 20%.

Connecting…Polymarket$722K traded in 24h · $17.4M totalCloses Dec 10, 2026

Odds now

25 bps increase81%▲ 4

No change20%▼ 3

25 bps decrease<1%—

50+ bps decrease<1%—

50+ bps increase<1%—

25 bps increase · last 7 days

90%0%

See this market on Polymarket ↗

Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.

Fed Decision in December?

Odds now

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