Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%Gavin Newsom 12%+21 more
KalshiElections
Jon Ossoff26%
▲ 2
$1.6M24h
Elections odds
Connecting…What traders are betting will happen, live from Polymarket and Kalshi, next to WARNPOINT's own country scores. The number is the market's chance in percent; ▲▼ is the move over 24 hours.
MarketChance24hVolume
J.D. Vance 13%Marco Rubio 11%+28 more
Jon Ossoff22%
▲ 2
$1.6M24h
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%Gavin Newsom 7.6%+20 more
PolymarketElections
Jon Ossoff27%
▲ 1
$1.3M24h
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14%David Lisnard 12%+9 more
Marine Le Pen45%
—
$1.2M24h
J.D. Vance33%
▼ 1
$1.1M24h
JD Vance 18%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%+23 more
PolymarketElections
Jon Ossoff19%
▲ 2
$717K24h
Benjamin Netanyahu 26%Avigdor Lieberman 6.8%+1 more
Gadi Eizenkot61%
▼ 6
$494K24h
J.D. Vance32%
—
$453K24h
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14%David Lisnard 13%+11 more
Marine Le Pen48%
—
$285K24h
Chuck Schumer87%
▼ 3
$277K24h
Alberto Núñez Feijóo93%
▲ 4
$262K24h
PolymarketElections
2.7%
—
$238K24h
National Party98%
—
$180K24h
Mary Peltola (D)98%
▼ 1
$169K24h
None98%
—
$164K24h
Katherine Clark 2.0%Joe Neguse 2.0%+3 more
KalshiElections
Hakeem Jeffries95%
▼ 1
$159K24h
March 31, 2027 5.5%June 30, 2027 8.5%
December 31, 20261.4%
—
$135K24h
Ulf Kristersson55%
▲ 2
$119K24h
No one 34%Benjamin Netanyahu 13%+18 more
Gadi Eizenkot50%
▼ 11
$117K24h
Mojtaba Khamenei93%
▼ 1
$97K24h
Nicolás Maduro94%
—
$94K24h
Netanyahu - Israel PM 34%Sánchez - Spanish PM 3.0%+7 more
PolymarketElections
None before 202754%
▲ 1
$84K24h
PP85%
▼ 4
$53K24h
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
▲ 3
$34K24h
3.9%
▲ 1
$34K24h
Chiang Wan-an66%
—
$27K24h
Pete Buttigieg 93%Ro Khanna 91%+42 more
KalshiElections
Gina Raimondo99%
▲ 78
$26K24h
Proposition 38 99%Proposition 42 94%+4 more
Proposition 599%
▲ 7
$17K24h
Democratic party66%
▼ 1
$15K24h
Ted Cruz 86%John McEntee 80%+39 more
KalshiElections
Ron DeSantis90%
▼ 2
$13K24h
Yashar 80%The Democrats 18%+12 more
Together10%
▼ 80
$9K24h
<1%
—
$8K24h
KalshiElections
1.0%
—
$8K24h
Above 5666%
▲ 5
$7K24h
D-House, D-Senate, R-President 15%Republican Sweep 13%+4 more
KalshiElections
Democratic Sweep65%
▲ 1
$7K24h
At least 210 96%At least 185 96%+15 more
KalshiElections
At least 20596%
—
$7K24h
Above 60K 51%Above 80K 51%+9 more
Above 200K60%
—
$6K24h
KalshiElections
5.2%
▼ 2
$6K24h
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party 13%Sumar 3.9%
People's Party87%
▼ 2
$5K24h
115 to 119.99 million 21%125 million and above 1.6%+1 more
120 to 124.99 million77%
▼ 12
$5K24h
92%
▼ 3
$4K24h
Marco Rubio18%
—
$4K24h
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%Marco Rubio 8.0%+24 more
James Talarico18%
▼ 2
$4K24h
Odds by country
Odds are crowd prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, not WARNPOINT forecasts, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Links go to each market on its own platform. Not investment advice.