Iran leader end of 2026?
Polymarket traders favor Mojtaba Khamenei at 93%, ahead of No Head of State at 2.1%.
Odds now
Mojtaba Khamenei93%▼ 1
No Head of State2.1%—
Alireza Arafi2.2%▲ 1
Reza Pahlavi1.0%—
Mojtaba Khamenei · last 7 days
100%0%
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IranSEVERE · open dossier64
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?4.8%Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…?98%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9.5%US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)12%Iran leadership change by…?2.4%Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?2.7%Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.