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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Polymarket traders give “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027” a 9.5% chance.

Connecting…Polymarket$678K traded in 24h · $79.1M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

Yes9.5%▼ 1
Chance · last 7 days
20%0%
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WARNPOINT risk score

United States
ELEVATED · open dossier30Iran
SEVERE · open dossier64

More odds

All United States odds→All Iran odds→

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.