J.D. Vance 13%Marco Rubio 11%+28 more
Jon Ossoff22%
▲ 2
$1.6M24h
United States odds
Connecting…What traders are betting will happen in United States, live from Polymarket and Kalshi. WARNPOINT's own United States risk score is 30 elevated. All markets
MarketChance24hVolume
9.5%
▼ 1
$678K24h
46%
▲ 1
$186K24h
Mary Peltola (D)98%
—
$169K24h
November 21 20%November 30 31%
November 1411%
—
$110K24h
Before Jan 1, 2027 76%Before Apr 1, 2027 87%+1 more
Before Nov 21, 202670%
▲ 1
$59K24h
1.4%
▼ 1
$19K24h
Proposition 38 99%Proposition 42 94%+4 more
Proposition 599%
▲ 7
$17K24h
7.0%
▲ 3
$12K24h
Above 190 MMst 96%Above 200 MMst 69%+5 more
Above 180 MMst97%
▼ 1
$12K24h
Above 550,000 jobs 95%Above 555,000 jobs 73%+3 more
Above 545,000 jobs97%
—
$11K24h
92%
▼ 4
$10K24h
Above 140,000 gallons 70%Above 150,000 gallons 46%+2 more
Above 130,000 gallons85%
▼ 2
$9K24h
Above 74 million short tons 97%Above 76 million short tons 95%+4 more
Above 72 million short tons98%
—
$9K24h
Above 450,000 jobs 96%Above 452,500 jobs 95%+4 more
Above 447,500 jobs96%
—
$8K24h
Above 60K 51%Above 80K 51%+9 more
Above 200K60%
—
$6K24h
43%
▲ 2
$6K24h
115 to 119.99 million 21%125 million and above 1.6%+1 more
120 to 124.99 million77%
▼ 12
$5K24h
Above 48 million 94%Above 49 million 90%+5 more
Above 47 million97%
—
$4K24h
7.0%
▼ 4
$4K24h
Above 8.6 million TEUs 95%Above 8.5 million TEUs 93%+6 more
Above 8.4 million TEUs96%
—
$4K24h
Before 2029 12%Before 2028 8.0%
Before 203021%
—
$4K24h
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%Marco Rubio 8.0%+24 more
James Talarico18%
▼ 2
$4K24h
Odds by country
Odds are crowd prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, not WARNPOINT forecasts, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.