WP WIRE
WP Wire › Markets › Conflict

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by…?

Polymarket traders give “Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by” a 1.4% chance.

Connecting…Polymarket$19K traded in 24h · $14.3M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

Yes1.4%▼ 1
Chance · last 7 days
10%0%
See this market on Polymarket ↗

Latest on WP Wire

Jijivisha stitched Everest onto a red-carpet suit. Nothing came from Paris, Milan or New York.The Kathmandu PostHonda to invest $3 billion in new vehicle assembly plant in OhioCNBC WorldMacrons sue far-right podcaster Candace Owens personally in TennesseePolitico EUTennessee Hit With Brutal Season-Ending Injury to Sack LeaderNewsweekPete Hegseth Impeachment Vote Expected as Trump Mutes Iran War EscalationNewsweekFlorida State Makes Significant Move That Has Major Impact on Head Coach SearchNewsweek

WARNPOINT risk score

United States
ELEVATED · open dossier
30
Venezuela
WATCH · open dossier
19

More odds

All United States odds→All Venezuela odds→

Related markets

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?22%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9.5%Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?46%Alaska Senate Election Winner98%Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by…?11%Venezuela leader end of 2026?94%

Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.