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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by…?

Polymarket traders give “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14” a 11% chance, and November 21 20%.

Connecting…Polymarket$110K traded in 24h · $871K totalCloses Dec 1, 2026

Odds now

November 1411%—
November 2120%—
November 3031%▼ 1
November 14 · last 7 days
20%0%
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WARNPOINT risk score

United States
ELEVATED · open dossier
30

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.