Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…?
Polymarket traders give “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11” a 98% chance, and November 13 50%.
Odds now
November 1198%▲ 5
November 1350%▼ 2
November 1594%▲ 4
November 1890%▲ 43
November 2050%▲ 1
November 2285%▲ 4
See this market on Polymarket ↗Latest on WP Wire
Trump says he is highly unlikely to order Iran strikes if talks progressThe Kathmandu PostIran war and ambiguous fuel pricing squeeze Indian fishermenNikkei AsiaPakistan's Hormuz agreement with Iran faces test after LNG tanker attackNikkei AsiaBREAKING - France opens probe into Iranian cyber unit over fridge attacks: prosecutorsTG insiderpaperHundreds of French supermarkets had their commercial refrigeration systems remotely overridden on Oct. 11, pushing temperatures to 50°C. French officials suspect Iranian state-backed hackers carried out the attack, according to a Reuters…TG Osint613Pete Hegseth Impeachment Vote Expected as Trump Mutes Iran War EscalationNewsweekWARNPOINT risk score
IsraelELEVATED · open dossier45Iran
SEVERE · open dossier64
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?4.8%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9.5%Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?61%US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)12%Iran leadership change by…?2.4%Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?49%Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.