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Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?

Polymarket traders give “Israel Election: Arab party disqualified” a <1% chance.

Connecting…Polymarket$8K traded in 24h · $120K totalCloses Nov 30, 2026

Odds now

Yes<1%—
Chance · last 7 days
10%0%
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Latest on WP Wire

Netanyahu says open to ‘unity government’ as Eisenkot seeks to form new Israeli coalitionHindustan TimesIran-linked hackers claim Tel Aviv leaflet drop, threaten Israeli power plantsbne IntelliNewsIsrael in ‘state of emergency’ Eisenkot warns after opposition leader tasked with forming governmentThe IndependentIsrael continues to facilitate a massive humanitarian effort for civilians in Gaza ahead of winter So far: ⛺️ 91,000+ tents have entered Gaza. 🚛 8,200+ trucks carrying tarpaulins, blankets, winter clothing & additional supplies have ent…TG IsraelWarRoom🇩🇪🇮🇱 Germany's President Frank-Walter Steinmeier continues the self-humiliating ritual for the benefit of Israel: We must stand against hatred of Jews, regardless of whether it comes from the political fringes on the right or left, f…TG Megatron_ron🇺🇸🇮🇱 U.S. security aid to Israel will not end "by the end of the year"—it will be cut in half, per Ynet Under the emerging memorandum of understanding, direct military aid will be halved starting in 2028 and phased out within 5 years…TG Megatron_ron

WARNPOINT risk score

Israel
ELEVATED · open dossier
45

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.