Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

WP Wire › Markets › Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Polymarket traders favor Ulf Kristersson at 55%, ahead of Magdalena Andersson at 37%.

Connecting…Polymarket$121K traded in 24h · $11.7M totalCloses Jul 1, 2027

Odds now

Ulf Kristersson55%▲ 7

Magdalena Andersson37%▼ 9

Ebba Busch<1%—

Ulf Kristersson · last 7 days

60%0%

See this market on Polymarket ↗

WARNPOINT risk score

Sweden
WATCH · open dossier7

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.