What are the odds: Next Fed rate hike?

Kalshi traders favor Before 2029 at 98%, ahead of Before July 2028 at 95%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Kalshi, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

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Next Fed rate hike?

Kalshi traders favor Before 2029 at 98%, ahead of Before July 2028 at 95%.

Connecting…Kalshi$10K traded in 24h · $243K totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

Before 202998%—

Before July 202895%—

Before July 202787%▲ 1

Before 202886%▼ 5

Before 202780%▲ 1

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Odds are the market's price on Kalshi, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.

Next Fed rate hike?

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