Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by…?
Polymarket traders give “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30” a 4.5% chance, and December 31 15%.
Odds now
November 304.5%—
December 3115%▼ 1
January 31, 202724%▼ 2
February 28, 202729%—
March 31, 202736%—
April 30, 202742%—
November 30 · last 7 days
10%0%
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Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant again relies on backup powerNikkei AsiaDecent work for all: How to preserve Ukraine's human capitalInterfax UkraineTrump still thinks that if he had won the election earlier, the war in Ukraine would never have happened. However, he somehow forgets that during his first term, from 2017 to 2020, eastern and southern Ukraine were already occupied. Furt…TG wartranslatedGerman Chancellor Friedrich Merz has threatened to block the EU’s 2028–2034 budget unless all member states agree to help finance Ukraine in 2027 and beyond. Kyiv faces a €70bn funding gap next year, with the EU pledging to cover about €…TG ClashReportNorway dropped from junior hockey championship to make room for RussiaEuronewsRussia's household cash operations fall 35% in September as internet outage panic fadesbne IntelliNewsWARNPOINT risk score
RussiaSEVERE · open dossier69Ukraine
CRITICAL · open dossier100
More odds
All Russia odds→All Ukraine odds→Related markets
Putin out as President of Russia by…?1.4%US imports Russian diesel by…?6.8%Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by…?3.7%Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?3.9%Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?98%NATO x Russia military clash by…?1.2%Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.