What are the odds: Next Senate Majority Leader?

Polymarket traders favor Chuck Schumer at 84%, ahead of Chris Van Hollen at 16%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Polymarket, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

WP Wire › Markets › Elections

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Polymarket traders favor Chuck Schumer at 84%, ahead of Chris Van Hollen at 16%.

Connecting…Polymarket$104K traded in 24h · $509K totalCloses Nov 4, 2026

Odds now

Chuck Schumer84%▼ 9

Chris Van Hollen16%▲ 11

Tom Cotton<1%▼ 3

Brian Schatz2.0%▼ 1

John Barrasso<1%▼ 1

John Thune<1%▼ 1

+2 more outcomes on Polymarket

Chuck Schumer · last 7 days

100%0%

See this market on Polymarket ↗

Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Odds now

Related markets