What are the odds: Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Kalshi traders favor Before January 20, 2029 at 15%, ahead of Before 2027 at 1.1%. Updated live as trades happen.

Where do these odds come from?

They are the live price on Kalshi, a prediction market where people trade on the outcome. A price of 14¢ means traders see about a 14% chance. They are crowd prices, not a WARNPOINT forecast.

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Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Kalshi traders favor Before January 20, 2029 at 15%, ahead of Before 2027 at 1.1%.

Connecting…Kalshi$8K traded in 24h · $5.3M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

Before January 20, 202915%▼ 5

Before 20271.1%▼ 1

Before January 20, 2029 · last 7 days

20%0%

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WARNPOINT risk score

Greenland
WATCH · open dossier4

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Odds are the market's price on Kalshi, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.