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China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Polymarket traders give “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027” a 2.9% chance.

Connecting…Polymarket$12K traded in 24h · $3.5M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

Yes2.9%—
Chance · last 7 days
10%0%
See this market on Polymarket ↗

Latest on WP Wire

DFA statement looks like attempt to monopolize China discourse – De LimaInquirerCouncil to boost efforts to protect Taiwanese abroadTaipei TimesIN FOCUS: A string of cases spotlights Beijing spy claimsTaipei TimesPNG writer slams closure of Taiwan’s officeTaipei TimesLai says Taiwan working on own satellite launchesTaipei TimesTaiwan Railway shortens online ticket booking cutoff to 5 minutesTaipei Times

WARNPOINT risk score

China
ELEVATED · open dossier
30
Taiwan
WATCH · open dossier
23

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All China odds→All Taiwan odds→

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.