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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by…?

Polymarket traders give “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026” a 6.5% chance, and June 30, 2027 66%.

Connecting…Polymarket$98K traded in 24h · $3.1M totalCloses Jan 1, 2027

Odds now

December 31, 20266.5%▼ 1
June 30, 202766%▲ 39
December 31, 202739%▲ 1
December 31, 2026 · last 7 days
10%0%
See this market on Polymarket ↗

Latest on WP Wire

Dutch troops and F-35s take part in drills for potential Ukraine deploymentNL Times
Kharkiv hit by two consecutive missile strikesUkrinform
Zelenskiy says he is very happy with messages he was getting ​from the US envoys on diplomatic efforts in terms of moving towards a resolution of the more than ‌4-1/2-year-old war with RussiaTG worldnews
President Japarov arrives in Moscow for CSTO SummitAkipress
⚡️Russian drones kill 2 municipal workers, injure another in consecutive attacks on Kramatorsk. Russian FPV drone attacks killed two municipal workers and seriously injured another in Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast, on Nov. 9 and 10, local a…TG KyivIndependent_official
Russian drones kill 2 municipal workers, injure another in consecutive attacks on KramatorskKyiv Independent

WARNPOINT risk score

Ukraine
CRITICAL · open dossier100Russia
SEVERE · open dossier65

More odds

All Ukraine odds→All Russia odds→

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.