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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Polymarket traders give “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027” a 8.5% chance.

Connecting…Polymarket$13K traded in 24h · $3.7M totalCloses Jan 1, 2028

Odds now

Yes8.5%—
Chance · last 7 days
10%0%
See this market on Polymarket ↗

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WARNPOINT risk score

China
ELEVATED · open dossier31Taiwan
WATCH · open dossier23

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Odds are the market's price on Polymarket, not a WARNPOINT forecast, and they never feed the threat index, country scores or alerts. Not investment advice.